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The Effect of Serve Speed

All else equal, you want to serve harder. But how much does it really matter? That’s a more difficult question than it sounds, and I don’t yet claim to have an answer. In the meantime, I can share the...

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US Open Serve Speed by Player

It’s time for more serve-speed research notes. Most of the matches at the 2011 U.S. Open were tracked by Pointstream, and serve speed was recorded for the vast majority of those points. The Open...

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The Effect of One More MPH

All else equal, increasing your first serve speed is a good thing … so how useful is it?  Earlier this week, I published some generic numbers, but those are far too crude to answer this question. To...

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How Servers Respond To Double Faults

In the professional game, double faults are quite rare. They sometimes reflect a momentary lapse in concentration, and can negatively impact a server’s confidence. Players are sometimes particularly...

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The Oddity of Naomi Osaka’s Soft Second Serves

Italian translation at settesei.it Naomi Osaka has quickly risen to the top of the women’s game on the back of some big hitting, especially a first serve that is one of the fastest in the game....

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The Effect of Serena’s Serve Speed

Yesterday at FiveThirtyEight, Tom Perrotta highlighted the relationship between Serena Williams’s first serve performance and her chances of winning. According to the article, Serena has won only...

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Serving In an Empty Stadium

The pandemic offers a wealth of natural experiments. Ever wondered how the presence of fans affects players? Before last March, we were mostly limited to speculation, because fans were almost always...

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